Pirates Top 30 Prospect Trend Report

9-14-21 – By Justin Verno – @JV_PITT on Twitter

Another week down and still no changes to the Buccos system. No one got bumped or even moved up or down while keeping their FV numbers. I have to admit, I’m honestly surprised by this. Gonzales, Priester and Cruz seemed primed and now overdue to get the bump to a 55 FV. Other bump candidates that now seem overdue? Endy Rodriquez, Carmen Mlodzinski, Diego Castillo, Jarred Jones and Cal mitchel all come to mind.

And so I don’t give the appearance of being a fan boy I need to point out there are some guys that are due to lose an FV grade. Tahnaj Thomas I think is a good bet here. As is Tucapita Marcano, Mason Martin(and I say that as a fan), Oviedo for MLB results, Travis Swaggerty and Cody Bolton are candidates but that’s due to injury?

I suppose that Eddie Yean and Hudson Heads are possibilities here. But I think Head’s walk rate and power combined with youth have him hold steady there. As for Yean , ay 20 and in high A he’s ahead of schedule. He likely keeps his 40+ as well.

With out further ado, here’s the weekly updates…

1-Henry Davis – 50 FV        IL

BA/OBP/SL OPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
CPX429/429/1.1431.571.714.6632830%28.6%
Season263/375/684 1.059 .421 .424 16216.7%33.3%

 2-Quinn Priester – 50 FV ARROW UP X3

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week42.253.032.00.41214.3%4.8%
Season952.653.9644.131.1928324.6%8.7%

3 – Roansy Contreras – 50 FV ARROW UP

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week 30.000.84.3314336.4%0
Season512.292.472.78.8826535.6%5.4%

4- Liover Peguero – 50 FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week176/222/235.458.059.209255.6%33.3%
Season268/328/450.778.182.3281077.7%25.8%

5-Miguel Yajure – 50 FV

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week 53.606.361.602949.1%9.1%
Season373.584.744,241.09.23722.5%7.9%
MLB9.13.865.214.51.86.14323.5%8.8%

6- Oneil Cruz – 50 FV ARROW UP X2

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week333/368/500.868.167.3761345.3%5.3%
Season293/348/522.869.228.3731327.5%22.5%

7-Tahnaj Thomas – 50 FV IL

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week IL
Season605.196.805.851.58.28922.1%12.5%

8-Nick Gonzales – 50 FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week154/368/154 .522 .000 .284 73 26.3% 26.3%
Season 296/371/557 .928 .261 .396 142 9.6% 28.1%

9-Travis Swaggerty – 50 FV – Out for the year

10-Bubba Chandler – 45 FV – ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week000/125/000.125000.097-4912.5%87.5%
Season172/294/310.604.138.2966814.7%44.1%

11-Ji-hwan Bae – 45 FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week333/391/333 .725 .000 .335 107 8.7% 8.7%
Season276/358/396 .754 .119 .338 109 10,4% 22.1%

12-Brennan Malone – 45 FV ARROW UP, incomplete

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBABIPK%BB
WEEK3000    0
CPX10.15.23 1.16 .19427.3%15.2%
Week – A3.20.007.61 9.12 2.45 .333 10% 25%

Quick note, fangraphs has not updated Malone since his Monday start. 3 IP no runs, one hit, 5 K’s and BB. Great work, arrow up!

13-Hudson Head – 45 FV ARROW UP X2

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week-211/400/474 .874 .263 .41214120% 28%
Season-210/364/398 .762 .189 .36711416% 31.6%

14-Cody Bolton – 45 FV -out for the season

15-Maikol Escotto – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week-313/389/375.764.063.3721175.6%27.8%
Season-243/368/357.726.113.35510715%30.7%

16-Anthony Solometo – Nothing Yet

17-Jarred Jones – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week1.227.0012.813.00.2860%25%
Season624.503.953.761.47.39630.7%9.3%

18-Carmen Mlodzinski – 40+ FV IL

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week IL
Season49.13.284.353.991.22.29832%9.4%

19-Canaan Smith-Njigba – 40+ FV

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week – (IL)
Season.286/.403/.427.830.14137213216.1%25.8%

20-Lonnie White – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OPS/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week000/125/000125000.097-4912.5%50%
Seaon174/240/391.631.217.286688%44%

21-Rodolfo Castro – 40+ FV

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week188/278/313.590.125.2696411.1%27.8%
Season258/314/458.771.200.3321056.6%20.9%
MLB198/258/395.653.198.282756.5%29%

22-Diego Castillo – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week182/250/455.705 .373.304830%25%
Season – AAA308/441/615.1.057.308.44617617.6%14.7%
Season – PIT282/342/445.787.164.3431128.3%7.4%
Season-NY277/345/504.850.228.3671288.4%12.7%

23-Rodolfo Nolasco – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week167/231/500.731.333.315797.7%30.8%
Season266/395/508.902.242.41613815.9%27.4%

24-Jared Oliva – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week409/435/5911.026.182.4481770%22.7%
Season274/340/397.737.123.328997.1%27.9%
MLB175/233/225.458.050.215207%23.3%

25-Endy Rodriguez – 40+ FV ARROW UP X3

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week387/457/6771.135.290.51021011.4%14.3%
Season294/384/508.893.215.41014012.2%18%

26-Mason Martin – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week200/261/250.511.050.234408.7%30.4%
Season249/327/494.820.244.3511198.3%33.7%

27-Jose Soriano – 40+ FV – Out for the season

28-Luis Oviedo -40+ FV – MLB

29-Cal Mitchel – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week400/538/400.938.000.44017723.1%7.7%
Season285/337/441.778.156.3391106%16.4%

30-Eddy Yean – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week118.006.816.00.5560%10%
Season645.345.324.711.41.26824%13.4%

I’d consider this to be a tougher week for the top 30. A few good weeks out there though. This was aa long weekend so I’ll keep the highlighted prospect short and sweet.

When the Joe Musgrove trade broke Joey Lucchesi a LH starter was reportedly headed to Pittsburgh as part of the return. When the smoke cleared and the details become official Lucchesi headed to the New York Mets and they sent one Endy Rodriguez back to Cherington to complete the deal. This final detail looks better and better as the weeks go on. Endy is an extremely athletic guy behind the dish and it looks like the Bucs will take advantage of that athleticism and move him to OF or 1B. (Side note, the development of Eli Wilson, trade acquisition of Carter Bins and drafting Davis make his an easy choice)

The power is developing for the 21 year old back stop/1B/OF. With 43 extra base hits good for an OPS of 893 backed by a solid ISO of .215 and a 140 wRC. Over the last few weeks Endy has really started to click. His slash line over the last 3 weeks:

385/481/708 with an OPS of 1.188

His approach appears to be a big part of his success with a walk rate of 12.2% to an excellent 18% K rate showing he has patience and great eye. His BABIP is at .335 and is in line with his .294 bating average, so we aren’t looking at luck here. These are stats we can sink our teeth into making Endy a great candidate for a FV bump and I wont be surprised to see an aggressive bump to a 45+.

That’s it. See ya in a week as we approach the end of the MiLB season!

2 thoughts on “Pirates Top 30 Prospect Trend Report

    1. Not a bad thought. But keep in mind, at some point the rebuild will swing attention to the “add a needed piece” stage. The higher ranked the players and system the better chance they have at using those players for a bigger name!

      Like

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