Pirates Top 30 Prospect Trend Report

9-21-21 – By Justin Verno – @JV_PITT on Twitter

The big news of the day? While there aren’t any FV bumps for any of the Bucs prospects the Pirates system now ranks as the second best system on Fangraphs. The Rays had a few guys graduate making room for the Bucs system to jump up a slot. Hoy Park will be coming off soon as he too has graduated, so hang in there as changes are coming.

Greensboro and Bradenton’s regular seasons are done but the playoffs start tomorrow. Altoona’s season is over, but fear not as it seems the whole team got promoted to AAA. So we are really winding down here. Let’s take a look at how the week went!

1-Henry Davis – 50 FV         IL

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
CPX429/429/1.1431.571.714.6632830%28.6%
Season263/375/6841.059.421.42416216.7%33.3%

 2-Quinn Priester – 50 FV  ARROW DOWN

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week2.216.879.023.00.33311.8%29.4%
Season97.23.044.084.261.24.28524.1%9.6%

3 – Roansy Contreras – 50 FV 

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week3.18.106.821.20.22225%6.83
Season54.12.652.742.93.90.26234.9%5.5%

4- Liover Peguero – 50 FV 

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week304/385/348.732.043.33910811.5%15.4%
Season270/332/444.776.174.3381087.9%25.2%

5-Miguel Yajure – 50 FV ARROW UP

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week60.001.87.83.25026.1%4.3%
Season43.23.094.354.161.05.23923%7.5%
MLB9.13.865.214.51.86.14323.5%8.8%

6- Oneil Cruz – 50 FV ARROW UP X3

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week278/316/7221.038.444.4281705.3%42.1%
Season292/346/536.882.244.3771367.3%23.4%

7-Tahnaj Thomas – 50 FV IL

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week IL
Season60.25.196.495.801.58.28922.1%12.5%

8-Nick Gonzales – 50 FV- ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week412/583/7061.289.294.54623916.7%29.2%
Season302/385/565.950.262.40515010.8%27.4%

9-Travis Swaggerty – 50 FV – Out for the year

10-Bubba Chandler – 45 FV

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week000/667/000.627000.5362090%33.3%
Season167/324/300.624.133.3258013.5%43.2%

11-Ji-hwan Bae – 45 FV ARROW UP X2

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week296/367/593.959.396.40815610%30%
Season278/359/413.771.134.34311410.4%22.7%

12-Brennan Malone – 45 FV 

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBABIPK%BB
WEEK  
CPX10.15.234.153.461.16.19427.3%15.2%
Week – A3.20.007.619.122.45.33310%25%

13-Hudson Head – 45 FV  ARROW UP X3

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week-286/313/286.598000.386566.3%31.3%
Season-213/362/394.755.181.36411315.7%31.6%

14-Cody Bolton – 45 FV -out for the season

15-Maikol Escotto – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week-100/100/200.300.100.133-280%25%
Season-234/354/347.701.113.34410014.2%30.4%

16-Anthony Solometo – Nothing Yet

17-Jarred Jones – 40+ FV 

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week46.753.301.50.37536.8%15.8%
Season664.643.913.751.47.38534.1%11.3%

18-Carmen Mlodzinski – 40+ FV IL

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week IL
Season49.13.284.353.991.22.29832%9.4%

19-Canaan Smith-Njigba – 40+ FV

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week – (IL)125/417/125.542000.3129333.3%0%
Season274/398/406.830.141.37213216.1%25.8%

20-Lonnie White – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OPS/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week500/500/8751.375.375.6102520%37.5%
Seaon258/303/516.819.258.3641086.1%42.4%

21-Rodolfo Castro – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Week080/080/080.160.000.072-650%48%
Season242/295/425.719.182.311926.1%23.1%
MLB198/258/395.653.198.282756.5%29%

22-Diego Castillo – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week300/429/300.729.000.34711121.4%14.3%
Season – AAA306/438/528.965.222.41715718.8%14.6%
Season – PIT282/342/445.787.164.3431128.3%7.4%
Season-NY277/345/504.850.228.3671288.4%12.7%

23-Rodolfo Nolasco – 40+ FV ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week667/714/1.5002.214.833.90442414.3%0%
Season284/409/552.961.269.43615015.9%26.2%

24-Jared Oliva – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week150/227/200.427.050.206184.5%22.7%
Season261/329/377.706.116.316907%23.3%
MLB175/233/225.458.050.215207%23.3%

25-Endy Rodriguez – 40+ FV 

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week304/304/656.870.261.38612613%0%
Season294/380/512.892.218.41014011.5%17.7%

26-Mason Martin – 40+ FV  ARROW DOWN X2

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week095/167/238.405.143.18174.2%29.2%
Season242/318/481.799.239.3421138.1%34.2%

27-Jose Soriano – 40+ FV – Out for the season

28-Luis Oviedo -40+ FV – MLB

29-Cal Mitchel – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week176/176/176.353.000.158-80%29.4%
Season280/330/429.759.149.3321065.7%16.9%

30-Eddy Yean – 40+ FV ARROW UP

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week2.23.374.181.87.3647.7%7.7%
Season66.25.275.274.711.43.27423.3%13.2%

This is a pretty typical week down on the farm. Some guys headed in a good direction, some down. Greensboro and Bradenton’s seasons are over, and are headed to the playoffs. While we get to see some AA guys get a taste of AAA action.

As for my highlighted prospect let’s go with Nick Gonzales. He finished strong so he’s as good as anyone to talk about.

If I’m being honest I wasn’t overly excited about drafting Gonzales. Don’t get me wrong, he was picked right where he should of been and was in no way a “reach”. But there’s was something lacking here? Upside? He seemed to be the “high floor” but “low ceiling” guy we’ve seen too much of in the system. There’s an important thing to know here though, a good system needs these guys. Nick has extremely quick hands, as quick as I’ve seen. He is short and quick to the ball but I wondered if his power would play? So far it has.

On the season he has 98 hits and 45 of those are extra base hits. 18 HR, 23 doubles and 4 triples. That’s good for a .565 slugging percentage and an OPS of .950, his ISO (.262) and wRC (150) are both superb.

Another great sign is he hits to all fields. Pulling the ball at a 46% clip while going to the opposite field 28.1%. This advanced approach should pay off in AA next year.

The K rate was high to start the season, hitting as high as 33% at one point. That rate currently sits at 27.4% and since July 1st he had a solid 26.5% strikeout rate. Not sure if he made an adjustment or is just seeing the ball better but the results are exactly what we want to see there.

All of this should have Nick get to Pittsburgh in good time, assuming he stays healthy. And when Fangraphs releases their postseason rankings I would think he is guy who could see his name picking up steam and get that 55 FV, honestly, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t.

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