Pirates Top 30 Prospect Trend Report

10-6-21 – By Justin Verno – @JV_Pitt on Twitter

As the saying goes, all good things must come to an end. Here we are, at the end. There will be no more walks, or homeruns or wins for the Bucs or any of their affiliates. So I present you with the last installment of the Top 30 Trends.

But don’t worry, Fall and Winter ball are just around the corner!

But I digress! Most of the players seasons have been over, But there were a few that were in AAA and 2 that were in the majors that we get to have fun with here. If the players season was over and there’s no iupdate it’s noted.

1-Henry Davis – 50 FV        SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
CPX429/429/1.1431.571.714.6632830%28.6%
Season263/375/6841.059.421.42416216.7%33.3%

 2-Quinn Priester – 50 FV   SEASON OVER

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPKBB
Season97.23.044.084.261.24.28524.1%9.6%

Quinn was terrific for Greensboro in game 2. Going 5 innings, striking out 7 while giving up 1 ER to an ERA of 1.80.

3 – Roansy Contreras – 50 FV  ARROW UP X2

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBABIPK%BB
MLB3.00001.503.271.33.42933.3%25%
AAA3.22.450.91 3.351.36.44437.5%6.3%
Season54.12.652.742.93.90.26237.5%6.3%

4- Liover Peguero – 50 FV  SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
PLAY OFFS250/357/250.607
Season270/332/444.776.174.3381087.9%25.2%

5-Miguel Yajure – 50 FV  SEASON OVER

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Week3.27.3611.628.381.91.25010.5%10.5%
Season43.23.094.354.161.05.23923%7.5%
MLB134.057.015.591.15.18218.9%9.4%

6- Oneil Cruz – 50 FV  ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
MLB333/333/6671.000.333.418.3640%44.4%
AAA429/579/1.0711.650.253.64730826.3%26.3%
Season292/346/536.882.244.3771367.3%23.4%

7-Tahnaj Thomas – 50 FV SEASON OVER

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Season60.25.196.495.801.58.28922.1%12.5%

8-Nick Gonzales – 50 FV SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
PLAY OFF143/386/429.797
Season302/385/565.950.262.40515010.8%27.4%

9-Travis Swaggerty – 50 FV – Out for the year

10-Bubba Chandler – 45 FV SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Season167/324/300.624.133.3258013.5%43.2%

11-Ji-hwan Bae – 45 SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Season278/359/413.771.134.34311410.4%22.7%

12-Brennan Malone – 45 FV SEASON OVER

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBABIPK%BB
CPX10.15.234.153.461.16.19427.3%15.2%
Week – A3.20.007.619.122.45.33310%25%

13-Hudson Head – 45 FV  SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Play Off200/273/200.473
Season-213/362/394.755.181.36411315.7%31.6%

14-Cody Bolton – 45 FV -out for the season

15-Maikol Escotto – 40+ FV SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Play Off417/462/6671.128
Season-234/354/347.701.113.34410014.2%30.4%

16-Anthony Solometo – Nothing Yet

17-Jarred Jones – 40+ FV SEASON OVER

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Season664.643.913.751.47.38534.1%11.3%

18-Carmen Mlodzinski – 40+ FV

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
AAA24.504.344.002.50.31718.2%9.4%
Season49.13.284.353.991.22.29832%9.4%

19-Canaan Smith-Njigba – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
AAA095/174/095.269000.141-248.7%39.1%
Season274/398/406.830.141.18015.4%46.2%

20-Lonnie White – 40+ FV – SEASON OVER

BA/OPS/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
Seaon258/303/516.819.258.3641086.1%42.4%

21-Rodolfo Castro – 40+ FV ARROW EVEN

BA/OBP/SLOPSISOwOBAwRCwalkK
AAA286/342/657.999.371.4191587.9%28.9%
Season242/295/425.719.182.311926.1%23.1%
MLB198/258/395.653.198.282756.5%29%

22-Diego Castillo – 40+ FV  ARROW UP

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week286/286/571.857.286.3621210%28.6%
Season – AAA278/414/500.914.222.40014618.6%18.6%
Season – PIT282/342/445.787.164.3431128.3%7.4%
Season-NY277/345/504.850.228.3671288.4%12.7%

23-Rodolfo Nolasco – 40+ FV SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Season284/409/552.961.269.43615015.9%26.2%

24-Jared Oliva – 40+ FV ARROW DOWN x2

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
Week133/235/333.569.200.2524811.8%17.6%
Season249/321/364.686.116.308867.6%26.9%
MLB175/233/225.458.050.215207%23.3%

25-Endy Rodriguez – 40+ FV  SEASON OVER

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
PLAY Off462/500/5381.036
Season294/380/512.892.218.41014011.5%17.7%

26-Mason Martin – 40+ FV  ARROW EVEN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
AAA240/296/600.896.360.3771313.7%37%
Season242/318/481.799.239.3421138.1%34.2%

27-Jose Soriano – 40+ FV – Out for the season

28-Luis Oviedo -40+ FV – MLB

29-Cal Mitchel – 40+ FV ARROW EVEN

BA/OBP/SLOPS  ISO  wOBAwRCwalkK
AAA250/286/300.586.050.268590%19%
Season280/330/429.759.149.3321065.7%16.9%

30-Eddy Yean – 40+ SEASON OVER

IPERAFIP  xFIP  WHIPBABIPK%BB
Play Off3.20000,55
Season66.25.275.274.711.43.27423.3%13.2%

So most of the updates here had SEASON OVER as the headline. The handful of players still going were mostly “a cup of coffee” call up. Most had 20-30 trips to the plate. So we don’t want to get carried away with what we saw one way or the other. Nobody is getting DFA’d or headed to the Baseball Hall of Fame over a cup of java.

But it’s really easy to get excited with what we saw out of Oniel Cruz and Roansy Contreras! Both are likely to stat in AAA and both could be fast tracked to Pittsburgh, perhaps we could see both in early May? Cruz really looked the pat of a major leaguer.

Another kid that continues to impress is Diego Castillo. Is he ready to start in the majors next year? If not the Bucs need to find room on the 40 man for him. His control of the zone is simply fantastic and the power is developing. At the worst he looks to be a super utility player, at best a solid 2B.

Part of me wants to give my “player of the year” awards to a few guys and while I had the pleasure to view a good deal of the MiLB games this season for the Bucs I would be lying to say I saw enough of the games to do that. (Speaking of that, the MiLB package was the best $40 I spent this year and I highly suggest it. I think it’s only $10 right now at https://www.milb.com/live-stream-games/subscribe) So I will skip that, BUT, I did see enough to make some predictions that are bound to be wrong.

Here are my probably wrong predictions on some of the changes to the Bucs top prospect lists(Fangraphs only) Here I will list some changes I see happening and some raisers and guys that could fall. I won’t be guessing their whole list, just some changes.

Let’s start with the obvious-Hoy Park will graduate due to plate appearances.

The top 10.

– Oneil Cruz, Roansy Contreras, Quinn Priester and Nick Gonzales all get a bump. With Cruz, Contreras and Priester 55 or even a 60. Gonzales will cap at 55.

– Miguel Yajure, Liover Peguero and Travis Swaggerty hold steady at 50. I considered moving Swaggerty down but he was raking before the injury, I think he hold at 50 FV.

-Tahnaj Thomas takes a hit here. Maybe all the way to a 40+.

-Matt Fraizer and Endy Rodriguez are the biggest raisers. I can see both hitting the top 10 and will go as far as saying both could be on Fangraphs Top Prospects List with a 50 FV. But at the least a 45 FV would seem a must for both guys. Followed by Po-Yu Chen who could see a solid jump to a 40+ or 45.

-Ji-hwan Bae could see a bump to a 45+ as he showed a ittle pop in the bat with a .771 OPS.

-Jared Jones, Carmen Mlodzinski, Maikol Escotto all get a bump to 45 FV. Outside shot at getting a 45 FV bump include Diego Castillo and Rodolfo Castro.

-Jose Soriano, Luis Oviedo, Max Kranick, Steven Jennings and Jared Oliva all come off the list for different reasons.

-Tucapita Marcano gets lowered to a 35+.

-Jackson Glenn, Jared Triolo, Austin Roberts and Michael Burrows are guys who’s age could prevent a bump. All would need to really move thru the system but have shown some upside. Do we get a surprise bump in this group?

-I have 6 guys that will be falling off the list? Fear not I have 6 names I feel will be added! Matt Fraizer is already listed and should see a big time jump. But here are some other name to watch for.

Geovanny Planchert, he will likely see the second or third biggest jump in the system. At just over 20 years old he destroyed the CPX slashing 321/398/464 with an OPS of 862. He has a great feel for the zone walking 12.2% of the time while striking out 23.5% of his trips to the plate. He could see a significant jump, 40+ maybe.

The others? Dariel Lopez, Tsung-Che Cheng, Jauri Custidio and Omar Cruz. Omar is likely the most recognizable name in this section. Acquired in the Joe Musgrove deal Cruz has been a solid piece of that trade and he’s LH to boot.

Let’s revisit this in a few weeks after Fangraphs releases the update so we can all laugh at how wrong I was! See you then and thanks for reading along.

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